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Chapter 5 • Theory & Derivations

Construction materials and mineral resources

**Guiding question:** How should long-lived buildings balance durability, embodied impacts and end-of-life recovery?

§5.1 The system before the material label

Guiding question: How should long-lived buildings balance durability, embodied impacts and end-of-life recovery?

A city compares new concrete, reused steel, recovered aggregates and modular envelopes in buildings with uncertain future renovation dates and thermal performance. A product comparison only becomes meaningful after its required service, physical boundaries, time and mandatory safety specifications are written down. The system may contain long-lived inventories, poorly measured return streams, process losses, upstream impacts and financial constraints. The engineering objective is to find the particular intervention that actually improves useful output per resource and reduces meaningful harms. The unit combines an explicit material mechanism with a data and decision workflow, rather than presenting recycling, repair, substitution or efficiency as universally superior.

An evidence-ready project in this unit starts with equal-performing structures in a defined climate. Its indispensable records include collect binder chemistry, strength/durability, distance, repair record and demolition flows, and important counterevidence comes from structural qualification and cradle-to-grave boundary sensitivity. Before reading any calculated result, consider whether assumed lifespan or transport dominates projected benefits. If the answer can be changed by a reasonable assumption about material quality or service life, the proper result is a bounded comparison and a plan to collect missing evidence, not a confident environmental winner.

§5.2 Unit project: challenge an appealing sustainability claim

Write an initial one-page decision specification for the case above. State the material in/out boundaries, the functional unit and a physically meaningful reference flow. Identify at least one mass-balance constraint and two competing mechanisms that might explain an observed difference. Then list the measurement owner, instrument or transaction log, geographic and temporal applicability, uncertainty and a specific control. Revisit this specification after each lesson. The five topics form parts of one investigation, not five disconnected sustainable-material slogans.

§5.3 Cement clinker substitution and chemistry

1. Physics, chemistry and the function actually supplied

Portland cement emissions come from both fuel and limestone calcination. Lowering clinker fraction with suitable supplementary materials can reduce embodied impacts while changing early strength, curing, durability and supply dependencies. A substitute must be characterized for its chemistry, reactivity and long-term performance under exposure conditions. Carbon stored or captured during curing requires quantified uptake and permanence accounting; it cannot simply erase initial process emissions.

Working relationship: Binder-related impact ≈ clinker mass × verified clinker factor + additive masses × their specific factors. Keep the system boundary, physical units and quality specification visible before asserting an avoided impact.

2. A real engineering dilemma with rival explanations

Problem statement: A contractor specifies a low-clinker mix for marine infrastructure but lacks durability evidence for chloride exposure. Propose two rival mechanisms and one observation that differentiates them. Record timing, composition and functional performance before ranking either explanation.

Constraint that can reverse the answer: Equal 28-day compressive strength alone does not prove equal long-term performance. Estimate which service, quality or environmental condition could reverse the conclusion.

3. Transparent synthetic calculation and sensitivity

The paired interactive card for this lesson is Clinker fraction sensitivity. Its computational expression is 1000(0.85p/100+0.15*(1-p/100)), with adjustable Clinker mass fraction of binder in %. At 36 % the deterministic output is 402 kg CO₂e/tonne binder; at 70 % it is 640 kg CO₂e/tonne binder. The two-point sensitivity is 7 kg CO₂e/tonne binder per %. These are synthetic teaching calculations, not measurements. Independently verify units and a third input before interpretation.

Why the numerical output has limits: 1000 kg binder, hypothetical clinker factor 0.85 kg CO₂e/kg and substitution factor 0.15; ignores durability changes. For a real decision, independently measure the variables that this illustrative formula holds constant.

4. Evidence protocol, sampling and falsification

Specific investigation: Compare representative mix designs for permeability, transport, curing and field-relevant durability. Define independent samples, record rejected outputs and capture instrument calibration and field-relevant service conditions.

Verify both mass-balance closure and functionally qualified output; publish observations that contradict the preferred mechanism.

5. Design trade-off and conditions of adoption

Trade-off: Maximizing substitution can compromise performance or depend on scarce byproducts that will decline as industries decarbonize. Evaluate the trade-off only after minimum safety, quality and legal requirements are satisfied.

6. Three guided practice problems

Question A — reconstruct the physical account. Starting from “Binder-related impact ≈ clinker mass × verified clinker factor + additive masses × their specific factors.”, identify the relevant system, quantities, physical units and hidden assumptions. Draw material or energy arrows, label the conserved quantity and explain at least two potential losses or quality changes. Solution guidance: reconcile consistent physical units and include process losses.

Question B — independent worked sensitivity. Recalculate 402 kg CO₂e/tonne binder from an input of 36 %; calculate a third point midway between 36 and 70, using the formula rather than copying the interactive output. Explain why a difference of 238 kg CO₂e/tonne binder is not automatically a change in environmental benefit or service economics. Solution guidance: numerical sensitivity does not validate a site-specific benefit.

Question C — design a decisive controlled comparison. For “A contractor specifies a low-clinker mix for marine infrastructure but lacks durability evidence for chloride exposure.”, provide a sample plan, at least one suitable control and one evidence source that does not share the same central assumption as the model. Describe the plausible observation that would invalidate the preferred conclusion. Solution guidance: compare equivalent service and independently qualified outputs.

7. Decision memo and reader challenge

Write a memo that separates observations from synthetic assumptions and proposes a reversible pilot with explicit stop criteria. Maximizing substitution can compromise performance or depend on scarce byproducts that will decline as industries decarbonize.

§5.4 Recycled aggregates and concrete life cycle

1. Physics, chemistry and the function actually supplied

Crushed concrete can substitute for certain aggregate uses but often carries adhered mortar, higher porosity, variable absorption and contaminants. Grading, processing and moisture conditioning affect fresh concrete properties and strength. The environmental benefit depends on avoided virgin extraction, crushing and hauling distances; excessive cement added to compensate for variability may erase benefits. Recovered material should be matched to suitable structural or nonstructural application.

Working relationship: Delivered aggregate impact = processing + transport + necessary mix adjustments − justified displaced production. Keep the system boundary, physical units and quality specification visible before asserting an avoided impact.

2. A real engineering dilemma with rival explanations

Problem statement: A demolition recycler proposes a high recycled-aggregate share for reinforced structural beams. Propose two rival mechanisms and one observation that differentiates them. Record timing, composition and functional performance before ranking either explanation.

Constraint that can reverse the answer: A high recovered fraction does not certify structural suitability or climatic superiority. Estimate which service, quality or environmental condition could reverse the conclusion.

3. Transparent synthetic calculation and sensitivity

The paired interactive card for this lesson is Refillable container burden per use. Its computational expression is 16/n+0.5, with adjustable Successful refill cycles in cycles. At 13 cycles the deterministic output is 1.7307692 kg CO₂e/use; at 33 cycles it is 0.98484848 kg CO₂e/use. The two-point sensitivity is -0.037296037 kg CO₂e/use per cycles. These are synthetic teaching calculations, not measurements. Independently verify units and a third input before interpretation.

Why the numerical output has limits: Hypothetical bottle manufacture 16 kg CO₂e, cleaning+return 0.5 per use; no breakage variability. For a real decision, independently measure the variables that this illustrative formula holds constant.

4. Evidence protocol, sampling and falsification

Specific investigation: Characterize absorption, grading and contaminants across lots; evaluate representative trial mixes. Define independent samples, record rejected outputs and capture instrument calibration and field-relevant service conditions.

Verify both mass-balance closure and functionally qualified output; publish observations that contradict the preferred mechanism.

5. Design trade-off and conditions of adoption

Trade-off: Local nonstructural use may outperform long-distance high-value reuse when transport and cement penalties are substantial. Evaluate the trade-off only after minimum safety, quality and legal requirements are satisfied.

6. Three guided practice problems

Question A — reconstruct the physical account. Starting from “Delivered aggregate impact = processing + transport + necessary mix adjustments − justified displaced production.”, identify the relevant system, quantities, physical units and hidden assumptions. Draw material or energy arrows, label the conserved quantity and explain at least two potential losses or quality changes. Solution guidance: reconcile consistent physical units and include process losses.

Question B — independent worked sensitivity. Recalculate 1.7307692 kg CO₂e/use from an input of 13 cycles; calculate a third point midway between 13 and 33, using the formula rather than copying the interactive output. Explain why a difference of -0.74592075 kg CO₂e/use is not automatically a change in environmental benefit or service economics. Solution guidance: numerical sensitivity does not validate a site-specific benefit.

Question C — design a decisive controlled comparison. For “A demolition recycler proposes a high recycled-aggregate share for reinforced structural beams.”, provide a sample plan, at least one suitable control and one evidence source that does not share the same central assumption as the model. Describe the plausible observation that would invalidate the preferred conclusion. Solution guidance: compare equivalent service and independently qualified outputs.

7. Decision memo and reader challenge

Write a memo that separates observations from synthetic assumptions and proposes a reversible pilot with explicit stop criteria. Local nonstructural use may outperform long-distance high-value reuse when transport and cement penalties are substantial.

§5.5 Glass remelting, cullet quality and color

1. Physics, chemistry and the function actually supplied

Container glass can often be remelted with compatible clean cullet, but ceramics, stones, metals and color mixing can compromise product quality. Virgin batching and melting are energy intensive; recovered cullet can reduce some heat demand and raw-material reactions under defined operating conditions. Collection mass is not equivalent to furnace-ready cullet, and very fine mixed residues may find lower-value outlets. Reuse of intact containers can avoid melting but requires return logistics and washing.

Working relationship: Return-loop impact per use = manufacturing impact / achieved uses + washing and return burden per use. Keep the system boundary, physical units and quality specification visible before asserting an avoided impact.

2. A real engineering dilemma with rival explanations

Problem statement: A beverage producer chooses between refillable bottles returned locally and a lightweight single-use bottle with cullet recycling. Propose two rival mechanisms and one observation that differentiates them. Record timing, composition and functional performance before ranking either explanation.

Constraint that can reverse the answer: Assumed return rate, transport distance and breakage can determine the outcome more than bottle mass. Estimate which service, quality or environmental condition could reverse the conclusion.

3. Transparent synthetic calculation and sensitivity

The paired interactive card for this lesson is Clinker fraction sensitivity. Its computational expression is 1000(0.85p/100+0.15*(1-p/100)), with adjustable Clinker mass fraction of binder in %. At 42 % the deterministic output is 444 kg CO₂e/tonne binder; at 75 % it is 675 kg CO₂e/tonne binder. The two-point sensitivity is 7 kg CO₂e/tonne binder per %. These are synthetic teaching calculations, not measurements. Independently verify units and a third input before interpretation.

Why the numerical output has limits: 1000 kg binder, hypothetical clinker factor 0.85 kg CO₂e/kg and substitution factor 0.15; ignores durability changes. For a real decision, independently measure the variables that this illustrative formula holds constant.

4. Evidence protocol, sampling and falsification

Specific investigation: Measure actual return trips, washing water and energy, breakage and cullet quality. Define independent samples, record rejected outputs and capture instrument calibration and field-relevant service conditions.

Verify both mass-balance closure and functionally qualified output; publish observations that contradict the preferred mechanism.

5. Design trade-off and conditions of adoption

Trade-off: Refill systems can be superior under short loops but may be worse when reverse logistics are inefficient. Evaluate the trade-off only after minimum safety, quality and legal requirements are satisfied.

6. Three guided practice problems

Question A — reconstruct the physical account. Starting from “Return-loop impact per use = manufacturing impact / achieved uses + washing and return burden per use.”, identify the relevant system, quantities, physical units and hidden assumptions. Draw material or energy arrows, label the conserved quantity and explain at least two potential losses or quality changes. Solution guidance: reconcile consistent physical units and include process losses.

Question B — independent worked sensitivity. Recalculate 444 kg CO₂e/tonne binder from an input of 42 %; calculate a third point midway between 42 and 75, using the formula rather than copying the interactive output. Explain why a difference of 231 kg CO₂e/tonne binder is not automatically a change in environmental benefit or service economics. Solution guidance: numerical sensitivity does not validate a site-specific benefit.

Question C — design a decisive controlled comparison. For “A beverage producer chooses between refillable bottles returned locally and a lightweight single-use bottle with cullet recycling.”, provide a sample plan, at least one suitable control and one evidence source that does not share the same central assumption as the model. Describe the plausible observation that would invalidate the preferred conclusion. Solution guidance: compare equivalent service and independently qualified outputs.

7. Decision memo and reader challenge

Write a memo that separates observations from synthetic assumptions and proposes a reversible pilot with explicit stop criteria. Refill systems can be superior under short loops but may be worse when reverse logistics are inefficient.

§5.6 Building reuse, adaptability and deconstruction

1. Physics, chemistry and the function actually supplied

Long-lived buildings lock materials into structures and contain large quantities of concrete and steel. Extending useful building life can avoid demolition and new materials, but retrofit energy performance, safety and functional requirements matter. Design for deconstruction uses reversible connections, material identification and accessible layers; bonded composite assemblies can impede recovery. A structural reuse decision requires qualified testing rather than a simple visual inventory.

Working relationship: Annualized embodied impact = total construction and replacement burden / service years delivered, with operating burdens separately included. Keep the system boundary, physical units and quality specification visible before asserting an avoided impact.

2. A real engineering dilemma with rival explanations

Problem statement: An old office frame can be retained, retrofitted or replaced by a lower-operating-energy building. Model equivalent floor-area service. Propose two rival mechanisms and one observation that differentiates them. Record timing, composition and functional performance before ranking either explanation.

Constraint that can reverse the answer: Assigning an arbitrary full future life to an aging structure creates optimistic comparisons. Estimate which service, quality or environmental condition could reverse the conclusion.

3. Transparent synthetic calculation and sensitivity

The paired interactive card for this lesson is Refillable container burden per use. Its computational expression is 16/n+0.5, with adjustable Successful refill cycles in cycles. At 17 cycles the deterministic output is 1.4411765 kg CO₂e/use; at 37 cycles it is 0.93243243 kg CO₂e/use. The two-point sensitivity is -0.025437202 kg CO₂e/use per cycles. These are synthetic teaching calculations, not measurements. Independently verify units and a third input before interpretation.

Why the numerical output has limits: Hypothetical bottle manufacture 16 kg CO₂e, cleaning+return 0.5 per use; no breakage variability. For a real decision, independently measure the variables that this illustrative formula holds constant.

4. Evidence protocol, sampling and falsification

Specific investigation: Use condition assessment, verified retrofit energy models and demolition-material audits. Define independent samples, record rejected outputs and capture instrument calibration and field-relevant service conditions.

Verify both mass-balance closure and functionally qualified output; publish observations that contradict the preferred mechanism.

5. Design trade-off and conditions of adoption

Trade-off: A modest retrofit may preserve embodied resources but may not meet evolving accessibility, seismic or thermal requirements. Evaluate the trade-off only after minimum safety, quality and legal requirements are satisfied.

6. Three guided practice problems

Question A — reconstruct the physical account. Starting from “Annualized embodied impact = total construction and replacement burden / service years delivered, with operating burdens separately included.”, identify the relevant system, quantities, physical units and hidden assumptions. Draw material or energy arrows, label the conserved quantity and explain at least two potential losses or quality changes. Solution guidance: reconcile consistent physical units and include process losses.

Question B — independent worked sensitivity. Recalculate 1.4411765 kg CO₂e/use from an input of 17 cycles; calculate a third point midway between 17 and 37, using the formula rather than copying the interactive output. Explain why a difference of -0.50874404 kg CO₂e/use is not automatically a change in environmental benefit or service economics. Solution guidance: numerical sensitivity does not validate a site-specific benefit.

Question C — design a decisive controlled comparison. For “An old office frame can be retained, retrofitted or replaced by a lower-operating-energy building. Model equivalent floor-area service.”, provide a sample plan, at least one suitable control and one evidence source that does not share the same central assumption as the model. Describe the plausible observation that would invalidate the preferred conclusion. Solution guidance: compare equivalent service and independently qualified outputs.

7. Decision memo and reader challenge

Write a memo that separates observations from synthetic assumptions and proposes a reversible pilot with explicit stop criteria. A modest retrofit may preserve embodied resources but may not meet evolving accessibility, seismic or thermal requirements.

§5.7 Critical minerals and extraction externalities

1. Physics, chemistry and the function actually supplied

Lithium, nickel, cobalt, graphite and rare-earth-related materials link engineered devices to mines, refining and waste streams. Extraction technologies and ore grades influence energy, water, tailings and occupational exposures. A tonne of ore cannot be equated with a tonne of useful element; concentration, recovery efficiency and refining yield matter. Material security and environmental burdens are related but distinct: a concentrated supply chain raises resilience risks even if its measured carbon intensity is low.

Working relationship: Contained target mass = ore mass × grade × recovery fraction, with all units and losses defined. Keep the system boundary, physical units and quality specification visible before asserting an avoided impact.

2. A real engineering dilemma with rival explanations

Problem statement: A new battery cathode chemistry uses less cobalt but more nickel and manganese. Assess upstream trade-offs beyond mass totals. Propose two rival mechanisms and one observation that differentiates them. Record timing, composition and functional performance before ranking either explanation.

Constraint that can reverse the answer: A high reported element recovery ignores tailings, local water stress and electricity supply. Estimate which service, quality or environmental condition could reverse the conclusion.

3. Transparent synthetic calculation and sensitivity

The paired interactive card for this lesson is Clinker fraction sensitivity. Its computational expression is 1000(0.85p/100+0.15*(1-p/100)), with adjustable Clinker mass fraction of binder in %. At 49 % the deterministic output is 493 kg CO₂e/tonne binder; at 81 % it is 717 kg CO₂e/tonne binder. The two-point sensitivity is 7 kg CO₂e/tonne binder per %. These are synthetic teaching calculations, not measurements. Independently verify units and a third input before interpretation.

Why the numerical output has limits: 1000 kg binder, hypothetical clinker factor 0.85 kg CO₂e/kg and substitution factor 0.15; ignores durability changes. For a real decision, independently measure the variables that this illustrative formula holds constant.

4. Evidence protocol, sampling and falsification

Specific investigation: Request location-specific water, tailings, refining and verified human-rights due-diligence evidence. Define independent samples, record rejected outputs and capture instrument calibration and field-relevant service conditions.

Verify both mass-balance closure and functionally qualified output; publish observations that contradict the preferred mechanism.

5. Design trade-off and conditions of adoption

Trade-off: Lower critical-element mass can reduce geopolitical exposure while shifting environmental harms to another extraction pathway. Evaluate the trade-off only after minimum safety, quality and legal requirements are satisfied.

6. Three guided practice problems

Question A — reconstruct the physical account. Starting from “Contained target mass = ore mass × grade × recovery fraction, with all units and losses defined.”, identify the relevant system, quantities, physical units and hidden assumptions. Draw material or energy arrows, label the conserved quantity and explain at least two potential losses or quality changes. Solution guidance: reconcile consistent physical units and include process losses.

Question B — independent worked sensitivity. Recalculate 493 kg CO₂e/tonne binder from an input of 49 %; calculate a third point midway between 49 and 81, using the formula rather than copying the interactive output. Explain why a difference of 224 kg CO₂e/tonne binder is not automatically a change in environmental benefit or service economics. Solution guidance: numerical sensitivity does not validate a site-specific benefit.

Question C — design a decisive controlled comparison. For “A new battery cathode chemistry uses less cobalt but more nickel and manganese. Assess upstream trade-offs beyond mass totals.”, provide a sample plan, at least one suitable control and one evidence source that does not share the same central assumption as the model. Describe the plausible observation that would invalidate the preferred conclusion. Solution guidance: compare equivalent service and independently qualified outputs.

7. Decision memo and reader challenge

Write a memo that separates observations from synthetic assumptions and proposes a reversible pilot with explicit stop criteria. Lower critical-element mass can reduce geopolitical exposure while shifting environmental harms to another extraction pathway.

§5.8 Unit 5 capstone — challenge, calculation, evidence and choice

Integrated case: A city compares new concrete, reused steel, recovered aggregates and modular envelopes in buildings with uncertain future renovation dates and thermal performance.

1. Service definition and counterfactual. Define the actual useful function and service horizon, identify the current material or process, and explain what product/service alternative is realistically available in the decision location. List safety and legal criteria that must be met before comparing optional environmental benefits.

2. Mass, energy and quality ledger. Construct a table of incoming material, recovered output, contaminants, rejects and inventory changes. Add the largest energy and water flows. Any unaccounted balance residual must be visibly labeled instead of silently treated as saleable recovered material.

3. Two quantitative sensitivities. Recalculate the unit's two interactive models. Change the default assumptions to two defensible adverse scenarios. Explain what is synthetic and what measurements would be needed to convert the question into a supplier-specific evaluation.

4. Independent audit. Design a sampling plan using equal-performing structures in a defined climate, recording collect binder chemistry, strength/durability, distance, repair record and demolition flows and challenging the decision with structural qualification and cradle-to-grave boundary sensitivity. Explain how many independent production batches, assets or user cycles are needed before generalization and how the result could be biased by rejected output.

5. Decision and falsification. Present a one-page recommendation with a go/no-go pilot, responsible decision-maker, estimated economic and environmental trade-offs, and a measurement that would overturn your recommendation. Specifically challenge whether assumed lifespan or transport dominates projected benefits. No safety-critical release or environmental certification is authorized by the classroom exercises.

After the capstone

Discuss whether a reduction in impact per service is likely to translate into lower total resource use. A more efficient or more recyclable product can still be produced in expanding quantities, and a durable product can still create local harms if its manufacturing is poorly controlled. Document the supply chain and user context in which the conclusion holds. A coherent sustainability argument preserves engineering functionality, mass conservation, traceability and the limits of the available evidence at the same time.

THREE WORKED QUESTIONS

Step-by-Step Statistical Simulation and Monte Carlo Solutions

Three original questions connect calculations, definitions and interpretation. Open each solution to follow the reasoning.

Solved Problem Example 5.1: Clinker fraction sensitivity

The paired interactive card for this lesson is Clinker fraction sensitivity. Its computational expression is 1000(0.85p/100+0.15*(1-p/100)), with adjustable Clinker mass fraction of binder in %. At 36 % the deterministic output is 402 kg CO₂e/tonne binder; at 70 % it is 640 kg CO₂e/tonne binder. The two-point sensitivity is 7 kg CO₂e/tonne binder per %. These are synthetic teaching calculations, not measurements. Independently verify units and a third input before interpretation.

Step

Why the numerical output has limits: 1000 kg binder, hypothetical clinker factor 0.85 kg CO₂e/kg and substitution factor 0.15; ignores durability changes. For a real decision, independently measure the variables that this illustrative formula holds constant.

Solved Problem Example 5.2: Refillable container burden per use

The paired interactive card for this lesson is Refillable container burden per use. Its computational expression is 16/n+0.5, with adjustable Successful refill cycles in cycles. At 13 cycles the deterministic output is 1.7307692 kg CO₂e/use; at 33 cycles it is 0.98484848 kg CO₂e/use. The two-point sensitivity is -0.037296037 kg CO₂e/use per cycles. These are synthetic teaching calculations, not measurements. Independently verify units and a third input before interpretation.

Step

Why the numerical output has limits: Hypothetical bottle manufacture 16 kg CO₂e, cleaning+return 0.5 per use; no breakage variability. For a real decision, independently measure the variables that this illustrative formula holds constant.

Solved Problem Example 5.3: Clinker fraction sensitivity

The paired interactive card for this lesson is Clinker fraction sensitivity. Its computational expression is 1000(0.85p/100+0.15*(1-p/100)), with adjustable Clinker mass fraction of binder in %. At 42 % the deterministic output is 444 kg CO₂e/tonne binder; at 75 % it is 675 kg CO₂e/tonne binder. The two-point sensitivity is 7 kg CO₂e/tonne binder per %. These are synthetic teaching calculations, not measurements. Independently verify units and a third input before interpretation.

Step

Why the numerical output has limits: 1000 kg binder, hypothetical clinker factor 0.85 kg CO₂e/kg and substitution factor 0.15; ignores durability changes. For a real decision, independently measure the variables that this illustrative formula holds constant.

Solved Problem Example 5.4: Refillable container burden per use

The paired interactive card for this lesson is Refillable container burden per use. Its computational expression is 16/n+0.5, with adjustable Successful refill cycles in cycles. At 17 cycles the deterministic output is 1.4411765 kg CO₂e/use; at 37 cycles it is 0.93243243 kg CO₂e/use. The two-point sensitivity is -0.025437202 kg CO₂e/use per cycles. These are synthetic teaching calculations, not measurements. Independently verify units and a third input before interpretation.

Step

Why the numerical output has limits: Hypothetical bottle manufacture 16 kg CO₂e, cleaning+return 0.5 per use; no breakage variability. For a real decision, independently measure the variables that this illustrative formula holds constant.

Solved Problem Example 5.5: Clinker fraction sensitivity

The paired interactive card for this lesson is Clinker fraction sensitivity. Its computational expression is 1000(0.85p/100+0.15*(1-p/100)), with adjustable Clinker mass fraction of binder in %. At 49 % the deterministic output is 493 kg CO₂e/tonne binder; at 81 % it is 717 kg CO₂e/tonne binder. The two-point sensitivity is 7 kg CO₂e/tonne binder per %. These are synthetic teaching calculations, not measurements. Independently verify units and a third input before interpretation.

Step

Why the numerical output has limits: 1000 kg binder, hypothetical clinker factor 0.85 kg CO₂e/kg and substitution factor 0.15; ignores durability changes. For a real decision, independently measure the variables that this illustrative formula holds constant.